US Military will Lose any Cyber War

Washington, DC, May 29th, 2008 -- The Turf Wars within the US Military are beginning to show the cracks in the USAF plans for defending cyberspace, although why it is the Air Force that is point in the battle is anyone's guess. They are really ill prepared and one would have thought NSA would have been the obvious choice to monitor and defend against online attacks. The US Air Force seems to be guided by former Israeli Army Major Lani Kass, who appears to have crafted the flawed US Cyber doctrine. Again we have turned to Israel like with the offensive plans of Wolfowitz, Pearle and Feith in relation to the Iraq war of occupation.

That withstanding the Top Secret Bunker mentality of the USAF lends itself to creating a Maginot Line of cyber defense, in a time of lightning guerilla warfare. The Army have already recognized the flawed nature of the USAF approach, and have began to follow their own model, along the lines of lessons learned in real warfare, not theoretical. The US Army knows the mind set of their opponents in the streets of Iraq and Afghanistan, and how they will translate on to computers. The USAF on the other hand panders to the whimsy dreams of cloistered academics far, far away from conflict mentality. The threat is seen as neatly organized lines of computer soldiers attacking the "Thin Red Line" of a Clauswitz computer system. In reality is a mob, swirling, growing and changing that overwhelms networks. More like a swarm of African Bees than the neat disciplined ranks of the Israeli Army. You do not hide your defense against African Bees in locked Top Secret Vaults. You have it handy, visible on a convenient shelf.

The multi billion dollar secret contracts are seen as essential and awarded to the usual Military-Industrial Complex vendor, who maintain the revolving door for the military, think tanks, and government. They will do nothing to protect the nation's critical infrastructure, nor have a mechanism to call on the millions of computer geeks, hackers and online experts who can either be the best defense available, or the worst enemy in a Cyber Riot.

The concept of a Cyber Riot, as was first seen in Estonia in 2007 has never been factored into the many military plans presented for defense of US Critical Infrastructure. Taking a Rifle and going onto the streets in support of an external aggressor is a serious, and often fatal act. Joining in from home and adding ten million or so domestic voices to the cyber attack would be seen as a reasonable support of a virtual cause by many Americans, especially students.

The USAF believe they can probe and map the threat from China, or Russia, or Brazil. How will they map the threat from within without spying on Americans and their online capabilities. Do they attack every domestic ISP when they see a pattern emerging from the Far East. This then lends the underlying failing of the current strategy. Cyber War benefits the least technologically advanced nation, with least to lose. To defend against a perceived attack from China, the USAF will be react by attacking their own cyber infrastructure. The USAF will by virtue of it's hostile stance destroy it's own resources. The many "Friendly Fire" incidents seen in the real battlefield should convince everyone the danger of allowing the US Military to have a loaded weapon that can be used against it's own people.

The cyber terrorist is the most difficult to find and contain with today's network of networks Internet structure. There are around 200,000 Intelligence personnel looking for bin Laden, a charismatic, easily recognized individual who makes audio and video tapes on a regular basis for the world's media. Bin Laden is not hiding in London, Paris, Mexico City, or in an Internet Cafe in Downtown Chicago. The Cyber Terrorist can be anywhere and everywhere. How many more Intelligence Contractors will be needed, 2,000,000, 20,000,000 or is the proposed staffing of the USAF Cyber Center of 500 enough, when 200,000 can't find bin Laden.

The US Military has completely screwed up Open Source Intelligence and the reported order to use only .mil and .gov computers to surf the underground web a real smart idea. Duh! ....

The concrete bunker mentality has no place in modern cyber warfare, and the need for a unclassified mechanism to instantaneously signal potential hostile packets appearing on the key networks to signal warnings, and actionable alerts to major users, ISP's and the critical infrastructure networks.

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